Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 15.939065 18.486754 21.247288 24.452718 28.064003 31.998179 36.599698
2025-10-19 11.493421 14.959020 19.083424 24.314498 30.729395 38.293963 47.839349
2025-10-26 8.953278 12.783065 17.691597 24.355031 33.063267 43.945771 58.445880
2025-11-02 7.120353 11.020945 16.349491 24.009362 34.559675 48.379040 67.608676
2025-11-09 5.759611 9.597032 15.149770 23.547160 35.654427 52.165464 75.999063
2025-11-16 4.704322 8.402931 14.049572 22.995180 36.436144 55.435591 83.760850
2025-11-23 3.790579 7.251582 12.819233 22.042347 36.452373 57.516655 89.872321
2025-11-30 3.402297 6.892219 12.754191 22.824288 39.059646 63.433965 101.765700
2025-12-07 3.078914 6.585717 12.720435 23.621302 41.711193 69.538270 114.241444
2025-12-14 2.605528 5.918611 11.978300 23.146769 42.262705 72.436289 122.007370
2025-12-21 2.188750 5.282957 11.199630 22.504817 42.447097 74.719290 128.889719
2025-12-28 2.042786 5.170807 11.362208 23.524330 45.475776 81.673405 143.419269
2026-01-04 1.886100 5.031857 11.498362 24.587983 48.803097 89.542869 160.234899
2026-01-11 1.654561 4.688302 11.198083 24.826847 50.739863 95.312088 174.117437
2026-01-18 1.443829 4.348082 10.853334 24.933697 52.432895 100.760768 187.764692
2026-01-25 1.229190 3.948378 10.319222 24.592155 53.243994 104.709527 199.069478
2026-02-01 1.039051 3.565301 9.759383 24.122229 53.748570 108.116961 209.589190
2026-02-08 0.872969 3.204846 9.191448 23.559013 54.002545 111.058140 219.411190
2026-02-15 0.711645 2.812381 8.479313 22.586182 53.334795 112.241325 226.143068
2026-02-22 0.658756 2.740751 8.552278 23.384598 56.338907 120.409035 245.795666
2026-03-01 0.611259 2.674891 8.629815 24.198313 59.427896 128.890860 266.393144
2026-03-08 0.518026 2.426291 8.181849 23.713847 59.712756 132.000314 277.223537
2026-03-15 0.432811 2.177978 7.689906 23.058412 59.560244 134.227386 286.483607